Bitcoin Price Forecast: Breaking Below 60K Due to Geopolitical Strife

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Breaking Below 60K Due to Geopolitical Strife

Reinout te Brake | 05 Oct 2024 07:11 UTC

The Significance of Bitcoin's Critical Support Under Geopolitical Pressure

As Bitcoin faces increased scrutiny due to geopolitical tensions, the cryptocurrency's critical support level at $60,000 has come under the radar. Standard Chartered's Head of Digital Assets Research, Geoff Kendrick, highlighted concerns that Bitcoin may not serve as a safe-haven asset amidst ongoing geopolitical risks. The recent plunge in the crypto Market, along with global stock fluctuations triggered by Iran's offensive against Israel, has raised questions about Bitcoin's role as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainties.

Risk concerns related to the Middle East seem destined to push Bitcoin below $60,000.

Despite initial fears of breaching this support level due to geopolitical turmoil, Kendrick's expectations were disrupted by stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs Data that temporarily delayed the downtrend. However, Kendrick suggested that any potential dip below $60,000 should be seen as a buying opportunity, indicating positive signs in Bitcoin options markets and the impact of US presidential Odds on Price stability.

Trump's Influence on Bitcoin's Price Movement

Kendrick's analysis also touched on the US presidential race dynamics, noting a slight shift in Odds between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. According to Polymarket Data, Trump's chances of winning the election have surpassed Harris by 1%, signaling an intriguing Development in the political landscape.

This shift unveils a fascinating correlation with Bitcoin's Price movements, as geopolitical concerns that suppress Bitcoin prices might actually enhance Trump's probabilities of winning the election, thereby bolstering Bitcoin's post-election prospects. A Trump victory is generally viewed as favorable for cryptocurrencies, given his known associations with the industry and support for Decentralized finance projects like World Liberty.

Analysts speculate that a potential Trump administration could accelerate the implementation of pro-crypto Policies, aligning with previous reports from Standard Chartered that set an end-of-year Bitcoin Price target of $220,000 in a Trump presidency scenario. On the other hand, a Harris victory could also propel Bitcoin to $75,000, especially following her recent endorsement of Digital assets.

Regarding the impact of a Harris presidency on Bitcoin's Price, although an initial decline might occur, investors are expected to seize this opportunity to accumulate assets as regulatory advancements continue to unfold.

Positive Signs of Bitcoin Medium-term Sentiment

Kendrick further emphasized recent Market activities that indicate a strong medium-term sentiment towards Bitcoin. The surge in Bitcoin call option positions, particularly for the 27 December expiry at an $80,000 strike Price on Platforms like Deribit, highlights growing optimism among traders for upward Price movements.

This increasing demand for call options signifies a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, reinforced by Kendrick's recommendation to consider any Price dips as potential buying opportunities. With multiple catalysts aligning in Bitcoin's favor, including positive Market indicators and upcoming events, industry experts anticipate a vibrant performance for Bitcoin in the coming months.

The Future of Bitcoin Amid Geopolitical Uncertainties

As Bitcoin navigates through a landscape fraught with geopolitical risks and external influences, the cryptocurrency's resilience and adaptability are put to the test. While the specter of global conflicts and political transitions casts shadows on Bitcoin's immediate Price stability, the underlying fundamentals and Market dynamics continue to bolster long-term optimism.

Investors and analysts alike are closely monitoring Bitcoin's response to geopolitical pressures, viewing any setbacks as strategic opportunities to accumulate assets with a bullish long-term perspective. With geopolitical tensions likely to persist, Bitcoin's ability to weather storms and emerge stronger underscores its role as a transformative asset class in the global financial landscape.

For the latest news and updates on Bitcoin's performance amidst geopolitical uncertainties and Market fluctuations, stay tuned for more insightful coverage.

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